Ideas

CLOSING: ROLLS-ROYCE

TAKE PROFIT? OR STAY IN FOR THE MT?

Nice 8% move to the upside yesterday as management have delivered. But we feel as a result of what they have done today the market will ‘re-rate’ them. Now the confidence is coming back investors don’t need a discount as no more fears about buying WRT1V etc. Historically the market has paid more than 15x…

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UPDATE: PEUGEOT

Exane 16th European CEO seminar. BULLISH presentation from Peugeot

Exane 16th European CEO seminar.  BULLISH presentation from Peugeot   Conference feedback V bullish presentation by PSA “We don’t want to only post good results in 14e we want to transform the company into a profitable and cash generating business” Bullish presentation on pricing in Europe/Ems/China JV and royalties. Have full details if any interest…

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UPDATE: DELTA LLOYD

Reiteration: BUY MORE

Reiteration: BUY MORE   DL is misunderstood and just too cheap. This is the value in the sector. Looking to real capital generation which has been our bull case and one we feel the market does not appreciate at all. Subordinated note last Friday moved them over the 200% (self imposed) solvency level which is…

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ROLLS-ROYCE

Buy into Investor day 19th June

Buy into Investor day 19th June   Down 19% this year, hurt mainly by disappointing final results for 2013. Investor day provides the opportunity for management to restore confidence. No one expects to be blown away by them but some form of control and a continued sensible M&A strategy coupled with news on buybacks and…

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BOUYGUES

Buy EN FP post French Housing Minister Sylvia Pinel article in Le Figaro. French housing change. All options are on the table.

Buy EN FP post French Housing Minister Sylvia Pinel article in Le Figaro. French housing change. All options are on the table   Government and the firms themselves still pushing for French telco consolidation. Price is the issue and they are pretty far away from each other. Will be a rocky road as shown by…

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DASSAULT SYSTEMES

Trading Short into Fridays CMD

Trading Short into Fridays CMD   Analysts day Friday where they will give their projections for the next four years They have reassured the mkt recently on their ability to improve licence growth and have set some high standards leading into this CMD. They are expected to announce a doubling of the revenue between 2013…

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CLOSING: ENEL

CLOSING FOR -4.5%

ENEL: Being pushed on the LONG side here by cash trader and derivs… in a nutshell, Italian yield move should help Utils, great correlation to Italian 10year (BofAML) With the animal spirits back and rightly so in the market and with the above ML call we are cutting our position for a 4.5% loss. We…

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UPDATE: 2014 Ideas

Strategy Update

I find it strange that after Mario Exceeded expectations it seems most people are still not happy. Not saying what he will do will light up the European economy but he has far exceeded expectations. This picture sums it up nicely It will take time for everything to be digested and will take time to…

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DELTA LLOYD

200DMA Bounceola

Delta Lloyd: 200DMA Bounceola Cheap relative to the sector and market. However it has had a tough time recently and is unloved. It has a lot of positives RoEs are expected to increase to a very healthy 17.2% in ’15, and offering a divi yield of around 5.3%. As a name the big story is capital…

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WOLSELEY

Buy as the US average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates decline to 4.08

WOLSELEY: Buy as the US average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates decline to 4.08   WOS has been a serial Underperformer vs peers and has been in an earnings downgrade cycle. We feel that they are at an end. Recent US housing data in May is supportive as it shows we are recovering from the…

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