Secret PM

BUY KPN VS. SXKP

CONVERTIBLE BONDS OFFER TRADING BUY OPPORTUNITY

America Movil Offering Bonds Exchangeable Into KPN shares. Fundamentally like this stock given its 100% Europe, has improving operational momentum and is continually mentioned as a bid target, most recently by Altice. Today’s weakness is a good trading opportunity on the mandatory convert, can hedge with the sector if you want to take the market…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: BUY GLENCORE vs SELLING SXXP

UP 8.53%

We are taking half the position off here for +8.53%. Running the rest looking for another 6-8%.   Monday • 07 September 2015 • 11:57 I think Glencore is a buy anywhere below 130 vs the SXXP. GLEN: u/p the SXXP by 35% in 2 months…Think that has to unwind. They have also been proactive…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: ALSTOM

CLOSING ALSTOM FOR +10.82% RETURN

GE’s $14.1 billion takeover of ALO FP has been approved today. On the condition that Alstom sells the gas turbine division. We used the opportunity at the end of July to buy ALO as the mkt punished Alstom unfairly for contributing EUR300m to help with the competition commission concerns. The trade has played out and…

For full note click here...

BUY GLENCORE vs SELLING SXXP

I think Glencore is a buy anywhere below 130 vs the SXXP. GLEN: u/p the SXXP by 35% in 2 months…Think that has to unwind. They have also been proactive although still leaves quite a big capital shortfall. Qatar own 9% already which is always a positive and could see them increasing the stake. They…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: BUY TITr vs SELLING TIT

STAY LONG THE SAVERS (TITR) VS ORDINARY (TIT)

According to Bloomberg TIT is looking at a savers conversion into ordinaries. In-line with comments off Q2 call that looking at the savers was on the table for H2. Talks of a a voluntary one-for-one exchange of €500m, so with conversion fee it implies a 10% discount to the Ordinary shares. Savers hold  30% of TIT’s…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: TELECOM ITALIA

CLOSING THE TRADE FOR +9.1%

Vivendi Has Begun Informal Talks With Telecom Italia, CEO. Obviously they own a big stake but they were never going to merge. However there will be some co- operation. On top of thst I feel Telco’s are a sector to own. With low growth and low rates telco’s will start to get attention again. Telco’s…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: POP. MILANO

CLOSING FOR +50.4% AND SWITCHING INTO BMPS

We still like the name as it has many of the attributes of BMPS. (Good capital, reported good numbers and the upcoming popolare consolidation). However following the run it has had we feel it is the right time to take profit and switch into BMPS where we see a lot more material upside as their…

For full note click here...

BMPS IM: BUY

FRESH CAPITAL & PROFITS UP 321%

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena released the strong numbers on August 6th. BMPS net income was EUR 121M, vs EUR 28.7M, beating the estimates by 321%. Even bigger news for us, is the increase in capital with Basel 3 CET1 up 50bps QoQ to 10.7%. Favourable movement in the bond market increased the capital…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: ING

VOLATILE MARKET, TAKING 20.86% PROFIT!

For the past week we have been experiencing a significant level of volatility in the global markets, due to the major sell-off. At this time, we feel there is too much uncertainty in the market. We are closing our position in ING. Happy to take profit of 20.86% and move on! Good luck and happy…

For full note click here...

UPDATE: ALSTOM

Stay Long, Stock Cheap

We used the opportunity at the end of July to buy ALO as the mkt punuished Alstom unfairly for contributing EUR300m to help with the competition commission concerns. Yesterdays news on reuters that GE is expected to win EU approval led to a 7% rally. Although near our initial PT of 27.5-28 we stay long…

For full note click here...