Secret PM

CLOSING TRADING BUY MRW

+3.3% FROM THIS MORNING

Ever analyst is still bearish and I don’t think we will be seeing material upgrades on the back of these numbers. I was hoping for 4-6% today . However it is a trading call so we close for +3.3% before the bears get their teeth back in. We may well be one of them soon…

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MRW TRADING BUY

SHORT INTEREST 19%

We closed our short last night on the back of expected good numbers this morning following good momentum in LFL sales and management optimism on cash generation. They have delivered and although we think structural headwinds will persist they are a trading BUY for us today. SHORT INTEREST is 19%!! They will fly this morning….

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CLOSING SHORT MRW

CLOSING SHORT INTO EARNINGS TOMORROW

We believe that the structural headwinds will persist in the UK grocery mkt but short term numbers will be decent enough tomorrow as LFL sales momentum has been good and management will talk up cash generation. We step aside for a 5.5% loss and will look to re short in due course.   CLOSING TESCO…

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DATA WATCH…. SHORT SANDVIK AND VOLVO

Data has seemingly turned in both Europe and the US; the poor ISM Manuf has been compounded more worryingly by the ISM non manuf. The German IP print today was the worst month on month drop in 2 years. CESIUSD and CESIEUR have both turned negative after a strong showing in July/August, which drove the…

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UPDATE ZALANDO

ABERCROMBIE & FITCH: WHOLESALE PACT WITH ZALANDO FOR EUROPE

Beginning this week, Zalando will start offering Abercrombie & Fitch, Hollister and abercrombie kids products through its online stores in the 15 European markets it serves, which will provide Abercrombie & Fitch Co. access to Zalando’s more than 18 million active customers. Negligible financial impact but shows Zalando continues to be Europe’s leading online fashion…

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UPDATE ZALANDO

STRUCTURAL WINNER: +27%

Great set of Q2 numbers. Although expected from the pre release where they upgraded guidance based on inline sales and improving profitability. The operating profit margin widened to 8.4 percent. Sales rose 25 percent to 916.4 million euros, in line with Zalando’s preliminary estimate. They also reiterated their forecast for full-year sales growth at the…

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CLOSING SHORT KERING GREAT NUMBERS.

GREAT NUMBERS; GETTING OUT OF THE WAY OF GUCCI -6.7%

Great set of numbers from Kering. Beats across the board with Gucci really smashing it. Although a lot is in the price now ,we feel that the cash flow generation the Gucci’s ongoing strength will continue to attract money ST. We close our short for a 6.7% ABS Loss.   UPDATE KERING FIRST TAKE POST…

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TELECOM ITALIA

LONG INTO Q2: GOOD NUMBERS + DELEVERAGING

A name we have had for a long time and has mainly caused us pain. Given the increasing risks to the investment case, with ENEL/Metroweb, and now ILD likely a new entrant once we get consolidation in Italy TI needs a good quarter and we have been promised one. With FY guidance of at least…

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CLOSING LONG GSK

POST-BREXIT BOUNCE : +11.31%

Another one of our Brexit basket. The initial 10% move in sterling equated to a 10% earnings upgrade so the move we have ridden also includes some re-rating as a result of the bond yield move. With that reversing a touch after Friday and sterling moving post May’s confirmation as the new PM, we take…

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CLOSING LONG SHIRE

POST-BREXIT BOUNCE: +20.43%

We have made 21% since we bought this on Brexit Friday. The valuation was too cheap and the GBP exposure clearly a key driver. With Theresa May now likely implemented as the new PM by the end of the week, a key uncertainty is removed and sterling rallies despite a likely rate cut later in…

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