CURRENT THINKING: Expecting powerful rotation to come into year-end

Market thoughts…plenty of competing factors at the moment ensure that there will be volatility into and out of the election. Fundamentally things are getting worse, freedom of movement is diminishing and the expectation of a linear improvement of Q4 over Q3 in many parts of the market looks optimistic. But balancing that we have a…

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CNE LN – The New Star of Bollywood – Share Price Could Double!

*Guidance for outcome of the USD 1.4bn arbitration case is still end of summer 2020 *Covid should not have delayed much as independent arbitrators are used to working remotely and based in 3 different countries *Both parties have looked at losses suffered and not far apart in estimates *Outcome of arbitration cannot be appealed although…

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K+S – Buy – Clearing the path

*We have a price target of EUR 12, implying a 70% upside *Yesterday’s price did not reflect the full value of the deal and we also see further chance of upside within the Potash prices *The company announced last night that they have now signed the agreement with Kissner Group to sell its Morton Salt…

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EDF – Buy – Nuclear Reform Key for Future

Interesting talk about potential reform on the Nuclear front on EDF FP – we see large value *We see large potential to unlock value in case of a split with the government keeping the Nuclear assets and splitting off the renewables *EDF trading very cheap compared to the rest of the ESG / Renewable sector…

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Closing the book

We are closing the book while we are pursuing another venture IMI LN – Closing Long +2.75% ABS, +14.25% REL HSBC – Closing Long +29.10% ABS, +40.81% REL Coach – Closing Long +21.18% ABS, +13.17% REL TITr vs. TIT – Closing Long +2.3% ABS, -2% REL Heineken – Closing Long +24.27% ABS, +31.13% REL IAG…

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INGENICO

CLOSING POSITION +17.36% RELATIVE VALUE +10.58%

Taking my profits on the back of the Natixis news -Natixis Confirms Interest in Exploring Combination W/ Ingenico -Says in preliminary discussions, will inform market if and when necessary. -Will further develop and invest in payment ops   INGENICO SELL: 3RD PROFIT WARNING COMING Thursday • 22nd June 2017 • 09:21 TARGET PRICE: €70.00 News…

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NORSK HYDRO

A BUY +28% UPSIDE IF NEGOTIATIONS WITH BRAZIL SUCCESSFUL

Current Price NOK43 Target Price NOK56 Upside: +30% *The closing down of Alunorte is most likely the starting point of real negotiations (as SBM did for their settlement with the Brazilian authority) *Norsk Hydro’s balance sheet is strong with a net debt/equity ratio of less than 0.2x and a strong FCF generation “The closing of…

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CASINO

BUY - TAKING PROFITS FOLLOWING A BIG RUN +46.04%

On September 3rd we published a Trading Buy note on Casino. Taking our profits following a 40%+ jumped in the share price. On a DCF, the stock doesn’t offer anymore upside. Mr. Naouri, by getting a new 500mn credit line, has stopped the hemorrhage short term … Financing remains a problem for next year. Assets…

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SIEMENS

WHATS NOT TO LIKE HERE?

The P&G miss, but that isnt a surprise to anyone, and clearly isnt the driver of the group now given the 9% profit beat today. Digital factory is the buzz area and that was a huge 20% beat. This is a stock that polarises opinion. At 13x earnings and 9.5x EBITDA it is clearly cheap….

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